What Happens Next?
Updated: Dec 5, 2019
With the election now behind us, Bluesky breaks down what occurred last night in the 338 ridings across this country and how a minority parliament will work.
We have heard from certain leaders once again today:
And it is expected that Canadians will hear from the Prime Minister tomorrow as he charts a course for the next four years.
Until then, let’s find out what is…
From the desk of Geoff Turner, Senior Consultant
Liberals achieved a stronger minority than many expected, and signs suggest a stable one for the time being. Needing the confidence-vote blessing of only one major opposition party, rather than two, the Liberals have several options available to get their key legislation through the House, and to navigate committees they no longer exclusively control. The stark fact is the smaller opposition parties do not have enough money to campaign again for at least a year or more, so Liberals may threaten calling their bluff if negotiating positions become too rigid.
From the desk of Neil Brodie, Vice President
The time worn political adage, ‘the voters are never wrong’, still lives.
So, what’s next? First, candidates and staff need to get some rest and reconnect with their loved ones.
For the CPC, Mr. Scheer will have to evaluate the 23 new MPs he will have in caucus and begin to develop a shadow cabinet. As with the Liberals, some members will retain positions they held before the election, but some recalibration will happen naturally.
Second, they will have to decide what items from the Liberal platform they can live with and what is unsupportable going into the next Parliament. Finally, the Party will begin preparing for the next election. The CPC platform and narrative were not enough to sway the 10-15% of undecided voters they needed to attract this time.
From the desk of Cameron Holmstrom, Consultant
For the NDP Monday nights results was a mixed bag. While the party lost seats and some key MPs like Ruth Ellen Brousseau, Pierre-Luc Dusseault and Tracey Ramsey, the nights result was much better than many were predicting six weeks ago at the start of the campaign. Also the dynamics have changed for the Orange team over the course of this campaign. At the beginning, leader Jagmeet Singh was seen as a drag on the party brand and had negative perceptions among the few Canadians who knew him. But as he ran a great campaign and became better known, his personal approval numbers soared to the point where he enters this Parliament as the most popular leader in the country. That is a development that could be very important going forward.
Going into this minority government, the NDP has the balance of power and a chance to show Canadians what NDP MPs can do for them. It will be important for the Orange team to pick a few important priorities and work to get action on those in the first calendar year. Also the tone of how they accomplish this will be important; Singh ran a very positive campaign on getting results for people and working with others to do it. The voters of Canada have handed him the chance to deliver on that promised approach, so now is the time to follow through. The NDP come into the 43rd Parliament with an opportunity before them and a path to grow laid out ahead of them, but all of that will be incumbent on how they handle this opportunity that they have been given by voters. We will see how they end up handling it but as of today, the potential result of this is all in their hands.
Now, more than ever, it will be critical to better understand the inner workings of each party, their structure, committees, House business, and get the whole spectrum of public policy organizations involved.
To ensure that you’re prepared to tackle the issues most vital you, Bluesky Strategy Group is equipped and ready to navigate our minority government with our team, comprised of members from all party lines and non-partisan viewpoints with a variety of in-depth expertise to answers your most important questions. Our public affairs experts are suited to the dynamics of a minority government.
If you’re organization is exposed to the federal government, this is an opportune time to give us a call today to find out how we can support your public affairs plans, government relations strategies, digital media and public relations programs for a brand-new government.