• Bluesky Team

Promises, Promises - Sept 18


Good morning,


Canadians were given more insight into the planks of each party’s platforms, with three focused on helping families and another announced making privacy a priority. But at what cost?


There are a lot of questions about how much these initiatives will cost taxpayers. To date, the Conservatives, the NDP and the Green Party have requested the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) to estimate the financial cost of any campaign proposal they are considering making during the 2019 federal election campaign. The most updated information on the costing can be found on the PBO website. (Be sure to also read the article, "Party leaders are making big promises without discussing how they’ll pay the tab," by Heather Scoffield, Economic Columnist with The Toronto Star.)


It’s not yet clear how much the Liberals’ new pledges would cost, as the party has not yet sent the costing of their platform to the PBO. Yesterday, Justin Trudeau was asked by a reporter in St. John’s why the PBO information has not yet been released; he replied that the full Liberal platform costing would be disclosed “in due course.”


Until then, let’s find out what is…

This Hour has 22 Minutes spoofs Trudeau campaign ad https://youtu.be/3r9-JkmRliI


Jagmeet Singh hugs protester demonstrating over ousting of Halifax candidate https://bit.ly/2kptiMQ

Political Commentator Warren Kinsella’s tweet @kinsellawarren If a strange man got this close to my almost-the-same-age daughter, I’d punch him. 


Rick Mercer calls out CPC candidate for torqued quote https://bit.ly/2lTpeF2 & then asks Andrew Scheer and the Conservative Party to stop https://bit.ly/2kmfMJL



Where you will find the leaders today.

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau will be on Ocean 100 - Charlottetown at 5 a.m.ET. The Leader will then head to New Brunswick for an 8:30 a.m. ET announcement and media questions in Fredericton, campaigns visits in Salisbury and Moncton and finish the day with a 7 p.m. rally in Truro.


NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will make an 8 a.m. ET announcement in Sudbury on the NDP's plan to expand the health care system to include public dental care. The NDP strongly believes that all Canadians, regardless of their income level, should be able to access comprehensive health care from head to toe. Following the announcement, Singh will visit NDP candidates in Barrie and then hold a 6 p.m. town hall on health care with NDP candidate Maria Augimeri (Humber—River-Black Creek).


Conservative leader Andrew Scheer will be in Hamilton to make a 9 a.m. ET announcement at and speak with reporters at Zeko's Barbershop. He will then make campaign stops in Richmond Hill and Etobicoke.


Green Party leader Elizabeth May will be in Vancouver for media interviews.




The Bluesky strategists take on the Conservatives reviving the Harper tax credits that were cut by Trudeau.


From the desk of Geoff Turner, Senior Consultant

If we’re bringing something back, how about the NDP-scuttled universal national childcare agreement achieved by Paul Martin in 2005! Sadly, not on.


Give the Conservatives credit for making the re-heated tax credits refundable this time, allowing scores of low-and-moderate-income families to benefit who did not before. But the policy is still “pay now, get a little back later” on sports teams, rather than essential bills faced by all parents.


And, the Liberals have outdone the Conservatives on the benefit side, proposing tax-free-at-source parental EI benefits rather than the proposed Conservative tax credit (again: Pay now, get a little later); and upping the child benefit by $1,000 for parents of infants.


From the desk of Neil Brodie, Vice President

The two leading parties have spent the past couple of days outlining their support they’ll implement for families if elected. And as usual, support for one vision or the other comes down to Canadians’ views on the role of government in their lives.


Those Canadians who believe in big government solving all the problems will love the Liberal proposal of a big-dollar, government-controlled childcare solution. Those Canadians who believe in personal freedom will support the Conservative vision, keeping more of their money and choosing their own solutions to childcare. These policies are a great example of different political views.

From the desk of Cameron Holmstrom, Consultant 

The effectiveness of bringing back old policy proposals really depends on how effective that policy was in the first place. Re-introducing back a successful policy can help a campaign, as it shows a party is open to ideas that work. Conversely, reviving a failed policy raises a lot of questions with voters. In this campaign, the Conservatives have pledged to revive the transit tax credit brought in by Stephen Harper as a part of their climate plan and to get more people on transit. The problem though is the initiative which lasted a decade, was an abject failure.

 

A University of Ottawa study showed that the Harper policy increased transit ridership by only 0.3%, therefore doing very little to reduce GHG emissions. It also showed that it cost the federal government $3,500 a year for every new transit rider that the tax credit created. In the end, it turned into a costly idea that failed to get more people on transit or reduce emissions. So, it does make people ask why a party would bring back a policy that failed. That eats into that party’s credibility and makes them question if that leader can make their lives better.

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