• Bluesky Team

Into the Homestretch - Oct 15

Good morning!

This Thanksgiving long weekend saw advance polling stations busy and participation numbers from university and college campus inspiring.

And as we head into the final week of campaigning, pollsters are noticing new trends happening amongst voters:

Campaign Research: NDP is on the rise and could win much of British Columbia, Atlantic Canada and Ontario

Elections Canada data shows 25% increase in advance voting compared to 2015

Turnout at early on-campus polls significantly up from 2015

So, it will be interesting to see how this on plays out on October 21st.

Until then, let's find out what is...

The Bluesky observers give their thoughts on what the leaders have to do this final week of campaigning.

From Geoff Turner, Senior Consultant

Justin Trudeau is on a mission to have his message reach every progressive-voter ear this week: campaign in multiple ridings a day, backed up by bright and enthusiastic candidates, and drive home the stark contrast to the Conservative alternative.

Just look at the crowds at every stop along the campaign trail: small towns and large centres, the main street flooded, dozens upon dozens of phones rolling video and taking selfies - he's got what it takes to get there.

From Neil Brodie, Vice President

Very simply the Conservative leader, as well as the other leaders, must visit the regions where their party has the largest number of seats in play. At these locations they must tailor their message to identified audiences. Large rallies will give energy to their campaigns to get the vote out on election day.

For the Conservatives this includes the Maritimes, Québec, the Greater Toronto Area, and the Lower Mainland. A stop in Wascana wouldn’t hurt either.

Other than that, the Conservatives must weather the onslaught of negative adds thrown at them by the Liberals, although the NDP may be more of their target. As a Conservative, its always interesting to watch ‘progressives’ attack each other.

From Cameron Holmstrom, Consultant

We are into the home stretch of the 43rd General Election and if they last week have proved anything to be true, it is the old adage that "Campaigns Matter". With the meteoric rises of both the NDP and Bloc Quebecois, the stakes going into this last week have greatly changed.

For the Orange team and Jagmeet Singh, the task is straight forward yet very difficult; keep the momentum going and don't stop until the end. The NDP have run a great campaign but now with seven days left, they need to close the deal to ensure that great work brings forth great results. Part of their goal this week must be to drive the news cycle and force others to be in the position of having to react. Jagmeet Singh's comments on a potential minority government or a coalition to stop the Conservatives had that effect, forcing all of the other party leaders to respond to his gambit, take a position and live with the consequences. For five weeks the NDP has worked hard to get themselves into this position and now it's time to finish the job.

Coalition Chatter Trudeau deflects coalition questions as NDP enjoys bump in polls

Singh seems to back off support for coalition government

'He should be helping out': Frustration erupts among snowstorm evacuees as Scheer campaigns in Winnipeg

Conservatives running Facebook ads falsely accusing Liberals of planning to legalize hard drugs on Chinese-language page

National climate debate cancelled after Conservatives refuse to participate

What is this candidate thinking? https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=645078049350923

Andrew Scheer reveals his fully cost platform

NDP lays out completely costed platform

Why Won’t Justin Trudeau Support a Wealth Tax?

Liberal Release: In Their Own Words: Conservative Platform Includes $53 Billion in Cuts – Including $14 Billion in Hidden Cuts

Climate change a serious threat to international stability, says Green Party

CBC/Navius Research modelling proves Green Party on track to reduce emissions by 60 per cent

Where you will find the leaders today.

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau will meet with seniors and families at 9:30 a.m. ET in Fredericton, N.B. to talk about our plan to strengthen health care. He will then deliver remarks and will hold a media availability. Liberal candidate for Fredericton, Matt DeCourcey, and other candidates from the region will be in attendance. Trudeau will then campaign with candidates in Cumberland-Colchester, Masstown and New Glasgow N.S. At 8 p.m. ET in Halifax, Trudeau will deliver remarks at a Team Trudeau 2019 Rally and meet with volunteers along with Liberal candidate for Halifax, Andy Fillmore, and other candidates from the region.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May will make a Green Party announcement to lay out the party’s plans to restore fairness to the taxation system at 4 p.m. ET in Kamloops, B.C., with Mr. Kidder and Iain Currie (Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo), and other local candidates. Ms. May will then go mainstreeting down Victoria St. to support the campaign of Mr. Currie and end the day meeting with the T’Kemlups Chief and Council.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will appear on the CBC’s The Current with Laura Lynch at 7:30 a.m. ET. He will then visit Broadview Station to greet Toronto commuters at 8:45 a.m. ET. In the afternoon, Singh will return to CBC radio and speak with Rita Celli on Ontario Today. He will end his day with a visit the campaign office of NDP candidate Paul Taylor (Parkdale—High Park).

Conservative leader Andrew Scheer will be in Quebec City to make an announcement at 11 a.m. ET. Scheer will then head to campaign with candidates in Trois-Rivières and Saint-Marc-sur-Richelieu and end the day with a 7 p.m. ET rally in La Prairie, Q.C. to outline his priorities for Quebec.

Where the Bluesky team can be seen and heard:

Consultant Cameron Holmstrom taking part in the political panel on CFRA's Ottawa Now with Evan Solomon

Principal and Co-founder Susan Smith discussed several topics in the Strategy Session on CTV’s Power Play with Don Martin

and appeared on CPAC’s PrimeTime Politics

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