• Bluesky Team

Green Promises - Sept 25

Good morning,

With this being Climate Action Week and the day after the United Nations Climate Summit, there was a lot of climate talk on the campaign trail. According to a new poll from Mainstreet Research, 60% of Canadians would be less likely to vote for a candidate that skipped a local debate on climate issues.

From the electrification of public transit to net-zero emissions, the leaders are making promises in the hopes that the initiatives will give Canadians the climate action they are demanding. In addition to the announcement, the Liberals also released two English and one French TV ad to highlight their commitment to the environment.

Choose Forward — Grouse Grind Choose Forward — Climate Action Choisir d’avancer — l’environnement

In this morning’s brief, the Bluesky strategists give their take on what it means being green in Election 2019.

Green Party Elizabeth May has thrown down the gauntlet and asked all the federal leaders to join her at the Montreal climate strike on Friday. It will be interesting to see if any other the leaders will leave their campaign trail and will join her.

Until then, let’s find out what is...

NDP war room response to Trudeau’s climate announcement https://bit.ly/2lrRPRL

NDP Tweet - We can’t waste any more of our precious time waiting for the Liberals to get their act together. If pharmacare is what you really, really want, support a plan that will actually get it done this decade: https://t.co/819MOMieIU #InItForYou #elxn43

Andrew Scheer Agreed With Controversial Anti-Gay Comments, Ex-MP Claims https://bit.ly/2mvhOYK

Scheer skips Cambridge stop where demonstrators had assembled https://bit.ly/2mXmE1e

More Liberal travel problems…this time on the bus https://bit.ly/2kPKlHZ & https://t.co/ZKVvVnJEpY

Where you will find the leaders today.

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau will start the day in Delta, B.C. to make a policy announcement and hold a media availability at 11:30 a.m. ET. He will then travel to Thunder Bay, ON to attend a 7:30 p.m. Team Trudeau rally in Thunder Bay, ON.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May will hold a press conference in Halifax at 9 a.m. ET to release details of new revenue and spending measures outlined in the party’s 2019 election platform. Then at 11 a.m. ET, prior to departing for Montreal, May will rally with supporters and local candidates at the Halifax train station. As Ms. May travels from Halifax to Montreal, she will hold brief Green Party rallies at train stations en route.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will announce at 11:30 a.m. ET, the NDP's New Deal to make life more affordable for everyday families in British Columbia. Following the announcement, Singh will meet with the Mayor of Vancouver, Kennedy Stewart and also visit local businesses at Moody Centre Station with NDP candidate Bonita Zarrillo (Port Moody-Coquitlam).

Conservative leader Andrew Scheer will be in Jonquière, QC to make an announcement at 10 a.m ET. He will then travel to Alma and visit a local business in Alma with Conservative candidate Jocelyn Fradette. Scheer will finish the day campaigning with Conservative candidate Marie-Josée Guérette in Quebec City.

The Bluesky observers give their take on what federal climate plan addresses the concerns from the UN Climate Summit.

From the desk of Geoff Turner, Senior Consultant Finally, urgency on climate change among the public is reaching the supermajority levels required to prop up serious political action. And until recently, this was lazily set up as younger cohorts gaining demographic clout, but it is hard to miss the scores of boomers and seniors now backing-up younger folks calling for a sharp focus and real action by their leaders.

In these days of political polarization, there is still an undercurrent who not only are skeptical, but actively oppose action, and their vehicle is the anti-carbon tax crusades led by Doug Ford and Jason Kenney. Make no mistake who Andrew Scheer stands with, while greenwashing for appearances with the moderate voter. And on the other end of the spectrum, we have Green and NDP parties trying to outdo each-other on who can propose more radical economic and societal transitions in the shortest amount of time. I don’t think they’re being honest with Canadians the extent to which their (Climate) War Measures will kick at the foundations of our G20 leading economy, directly and rapidly shaking millions of Canadians’ economic security in the process. There must be a better choice than backward or blow-up.

So, in classic brokerage-Liberal form, I will say: don’t let The Perfect be the enemy of The Good. I think Canadians by-and-large have seen the Trudeau government do seriously heavy political lifting on this file - things that conventional political wisdom said weren’t possible (like a carbon price) - and who have been fighting the good fight against The Deniers, who climate-concerned voters implicitly understand are the real-world alternative.

From the desk of Neil Brodie, Vice-President

There are two options available to voters this election on how best to reduce emissions.

There is a Liberal plan of taxing individuals’ and corporations’ emissions and redistributing that tax money as decided by the Liberal party. It is touted as revenue neutral, but it is not revenue neutral to those paying the tax.

The Conservative plan is to set carbon emission targets and allow the marketplace to decide how best to meet them. Canadians who believe the market is efficient should end up supporting the Conservative plan. Canadians who believe the government is efficient should end up supporting the Liberal plan.

But let’s be clear, no party has a credible plan to meet any carbon emission targets that are currently touted by international organizations. This is mostly a feel-good policy. Passenger transportation accounts for about 20% of emissions and no family will be giving up their car/minivan/SUV anytime soon.

From the desk of Cameron Holmstrom, Consultant 

In this election campaign the environment and battling climate change has become a defining issue and for the first time in recent memory, promises to be a major driver of peoples votes. That’s why every party has come forward with proposals to tackle this issue in their own way. While they all have some good pieces and ideas in their platforms, none have the complete solution that gets us to where we need to go without leaving working people behind and help communities make a just transition.

Anyway, we’ve never lacked for campaign promises to take on climate change; what we’ve lack is the political will to follow through on them. Historically the Canadian electorate hasn’t punished parties for not keeping their promises on the environment, so there hasn’t been a political price to pay. But this campaign seems different for one big reason; millennial's are now the largest voting block. It’s millennial's who will have to live with the planet we leave them, and it’s in their interest to see action, not broken promises. It remains to be seen if millennial's will flex their new electoral muscle in this campaign but they’re the biggest reason why climate change has become a front-line issue in this campaign.

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