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Looking for a Bounce - Oct 9


Good morning,


Following the English debate, the federal political party leaders have returned to the campaign trail to win over the hearts and minds of Canadians. Here are some articles that illustrate what voters are thinking from coast to coast to coast.


Interesting Twitter thread on who "won" English debate from VoteCompass

Singh scores win with ‘sentiment’ jump on Twitter during debate, Ipsos says

It can be hard to trust political leaders, but you have to pick someone


And it seems as we enter these final two weeks, polls indicate that voter sentiment remains deadlocked as to which party will form government after October 21st.


Until then, let’s find out what is…

With the first all leaders debate behind them, the Bluesky observers give their thoughts on what the leaders need to do to break the deadlock in the polls.


From Geoff Turner, Senior Consultant

The 'Ground War' is critical in an election that's tilting towards a low-turnout, which means local campaigns will need to deliver every known or suspected Liberal to the booth in winnable ridings. Good news is Liberals are notoriously strong, organized and effective at this core pillar of political campaigning.


The Air War will keep pressure on Scheer. Personally, I'd love to see Liberals clip the disastrously flimsy policy wings under the high-soaring rhetoric of the Greens and NDP, pied piping away to restless progressive voters. They won't, because those parties won't form government. But Andrew Scheer very well might - and that fact ultimately motivates progressive voters more than loose talk about solving climate change with this one easy trick. So, they will keep hammering the Conservatives, and stay on speaking terms with the kingmakers if a minority is the result of all this tumult.


From Neil Brodie, Vice President

Everyone I spoke to after the debate enjoyed seeing the fiery Andrew Scheer that surfaced in the first moments of the debate and a couple of times later. There is a fine line to be walked between passionate and angry as Thomas Mulcair found out in 2014-15 (the Angry Tom era). It shouldn’t surprise anyone that Mr. Trudeau doesn’t take criticism well. It was apparent at the debate he didn’t appreciate Mr. Scheer looking down at him and listing the worst hits of the past four years.


If Mr. Scheer can push through the media’s desire to forgive Mr. Trudeau for everything and keep hitting him hard with a list of his failings, Canadians may realize they want to vote for a strong, principled leader who will work to keep their money in their pockets.

From Cameron Holmstrom, Consultant

In this campaign so far, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh has run about as good a campaign as a leader can. He’s been on point, he’s connecting with voters and he’s shown himself to be very genuine. Through out the campaign he’s continued to rise to the challenges put before him, exceeding the expectations that many had for him.

But when you’re the leader of the third party in an election, there are only so many things within your direct control. In this race, we’ve seen that despite Mr. Singh’s personal numbers on the rise, the party’s polling hasn’t risen at the same pace yet. So, when it comes to the NDP’s strategy going forward, it’s continuing to focus on what they control and keep running the campaign that they have so far. With only two weeks left, keeping up this pace will keep the pressure on the Liberals and Conservatives and if one of them starts to slip, the NDP need to be ready to pounce on the mistakes of others and the opportunities they present to win more voters over to their side. Is there enough time left for that to happen? That is the open question that will only be truly answered late on October 21st.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh's appearance on CTV's The Social


and with students at Ryerson University


GLOBAL NEWS EXCLUSIVE: Ottawa cuts reimbursements for military health care, hospitals on the hook for millions

In Their Own Words: In Leaders Debate, Justin Trudeau presents his plan to move Canada forward


Andrew Scheer announces financial support for Ontario Line and Yonge Subway Extension


NDP - Does Trudeau Think It’s Ok for His Cabinet Members to Avoid Taxes?


After four years of Trudeau failures, NDP offers new deal for Young People


Greens oppose all pipelines, including in St. Lawrence River, and will support Quebec

Where you will find the leaders today.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May will make an announcement about Quebec culture at 10:45 a.m. ET in Montreal with Deputy Leader Daniel Green (Outremont). At 1:15 p.m. ET, she will have a meal and visit patrons at Pub La Cale, Montreal’s first zero-waste pub. Ms. May will then end the day, by making an announcement about affordable housing.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will also be in Montreal appearing first at 7:20 a.m. ET on 98.5 FM's Puisqu'il faut se lever. He will then give a speech to the CUPE Biennial Convention at 10:05 a.m. ET. Singh will share the NDP's vision for a future where Canada pays a living wage to all workers, protects the rights of working people, and adopts universal pharmacare, dental care, and child care.

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau will be in Markham, ON to deliver remarks at 8:30 a.m. ET about their plan to make life more affordable for the middle class, and will hold a media availability. Liberal candidate for Markham–Unionville, Alan Ho, Liberal candidate for Markham–Stouffville, Helena Jaczek and Liberal candidate for Markham–Thornhill, Mary Ng, will be in attendance. Conservative leader Andrew Scheer will be in Hemmingford , QC to make a 10:00 a.m. ET announcement.

Principal Susan Smith & Consultant Cameron Holmstsrom provide their insight in this HuffPost Canada article: Here's What Trudeau, Scheer, And Singh Should Focus On In Final Push


Tonight, be sure to watch Senior Consultant Geoff Turner on PrimeTime Politics on CPAC at 8 p.m. ET


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